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Authors Chen P, Wang F, Zhang Z, Nie J, Liu L, Feng J, Zhou R, Wang H, Liu J, Zhao Q
Received 4 June 2018
Accepted for publication 31 July 2018
Published 3 October 2018 Volume 2018:10 Pages 4145—4153
DOI https://doi.org/10.2147/CMAR.S176260
Checked for plagiarism Yes
Review by Single-blind
Peer reviewers approved by Dr Cristina Weinberg
Peer reviewer comments 4
Editor who approved publication: Dr Antonella D'Anneo
Background: Colon cancer (CC) patients with early relapse usually have a poor
prognosis. In this study, we aimed to identify a novel signature to improve the
prediction of relapse-free survival (RFS) in CC.
Methods: Four microarray datasets were merged into a training set
(n=1,045), and one RNA-sequencing dataset was used as a validation set (n=384).
In the training set, microarray meta-analysis screened out 596 common
RFS-related genes across datasets, which were used to construct 177,310 gene
pairs. Then, the LASSO penalized generalized linear model identified 16
RFS-related gene pairs, and a risk score was calculated for each sample
according to the model coefficients.
Results: The risk score demonstrated a good ability in predicting RFS (area
under the curve [AUC] at 5 years: 0.724; concordance index [C-index]: 0.642,
95% CI: 0.615–0.669). High-risk patients showed a poorer prognosis than
low-risk patients (HR: 3.519, 95% CI: 2.870–4.314). Subgroup analysis reached
consistent results when considering multiple confounders. In the validation
set, the risk score had a similar performance (AUC at 5 years: 0.697; C-index:
0.696, 95% CI: 0.627–0.766; HR: 2.926, 95% CI: 1.892–4.527). When compared with
a 13-gene signature, a 15-gene signature, and TNM stage, the score showed a
better performance (P <0.0001; P =0.0004; P =0.0125), especially for the
patients with a longer follow-up (R 2=0.988, P <0.0001). When
the follow-up was >5 years (n=314), the score demonstrated an excellent
performance (C-index: 0.869, 95% CI: 0.816–0.922; HR: 13.55, 95% CI:
7.409–24.78).
Conclusion: Our study identified a novel gene-pair signature for prediction of
RFS in CC.
Keywords: colon cancer, relapse-free survival, gene pair, prognosis